{
  "version": "ercot-native-load-cases-v1",
  "source": "ERCOT Hourly Load Data Archives",
  "source_index_url": "https://www.ercot.com/gridinfo/load/load_hist",
  "timezone": "America/Chicago",
  "timestamp_convention": "Interval start, converted from ERCOT market-local Hour Ending labels; each row spans one hour.",
  "load_definition": "ERCOT published hourly native load. This series differs from the forecast-zone load data used by the probabilistic research candidate.",
  "scope": "Observed historical load with user-defined counterfactual assumptions. No live data or probabilistic forecast is produced.",
  "cases": [
    {
      "id": "summer-2023",
      "title": "Summer load · August 2023",
      "note": "A high-load summer window. Compare a fixed capacity assumption with a proportional load reduction.",
      "default_capacity_mw": 80000,
      "start_date": "2023-08-09",
      "end_date_exclusive": "2023-08-12",
      "source_url": "https://www.ercot.com/files/docs/2023/02/09/Native_Load_2023.zip",
      "source_archive_sha256": "34e7067d3273f56be42ce469e23747cff0db736d668519070ad63674c3ddecd4",
      "hours": [
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T00:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 63272.123
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 60568.974
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58453.38
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 57070.268
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 56437.177
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 56971.76
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 57980.801
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58160.167
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T08:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 60549.636
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T09:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 64438.959
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T10:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 68599.183
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T11:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 73095.136
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T12:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 77107.798
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T13:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 80551.692
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T14:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 82811.827
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T15:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 83286.467
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 83660.857
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 83735.957
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 82903.587
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T19:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 80434.89
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 77864.094
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 75509.001
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T22:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 71135.186
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-09T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 67010.012
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T00:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 63435.675
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 60815.828
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58790.72
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 57314.831
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 56630.248
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 56820.717
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 57736.913
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 57844.489
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T08:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 60181.046
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T09:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 64163.657
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T10:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 68741.681
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T11:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 73481.437
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T12:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 77853.381
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T13:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 81355.2
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T14:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 83433.984
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T15:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 84660.62
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 85302.245
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 85464.116
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 84432.08
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T19:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 81857.58
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 79321.759
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 77348.466
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T22:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 73279.658
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-10T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 69073.634
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T00:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 65290.331
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 62335.779
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 60029.407
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58610.551
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58001.636
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 58325.039
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 59179.875
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 59309.78
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T08:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 61545.275
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T09:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 65368.376
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T10:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 70021.384
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T11:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 74195.268
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T12:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 78037.645
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T13:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 81590.171
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T14:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 83765.528
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T15:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 84776.673
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 85037.849
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 84492.216
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 82970.828
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T19:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 80159.007
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 77663.925
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 75592.437
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T22:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 71910.578
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-08-11T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 67979.766
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "spring-2023",
      "title": "Spring load · April 2023",
      "note": "A spring comparison window. The same planning rule can behave differently across seasons.",
      "default_capacity_mw": 45000,
      "start_date": "2023-04-10",
      "end_date_exclusive": "2023-04-13",
      "source_url": "https://www.ercot.com/files/docs/2023/02/09/Native_Load_2023.zip",
      "source_archive_sha256": "34e7067d3273f56be42ce469e23747cff0db736d668519070ad63674c3ddecd4",
      "hours": [
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T00:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35737.313
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 34518.935
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 33697.257
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 33430.592
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 34049.399
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35497.593
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 38043.112
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 39518.477
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T08:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 40437.306
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T09:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 41300.598
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T10:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 42118.278
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T11:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 43095.885
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T12:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 43765.598
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T13:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44396.431
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T14:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44663.987
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T15:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44681.401
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44971.569
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 45081.288
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 45006.853
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T19:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44930.123
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 45206.016
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44358.788
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 41807.186
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-10T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 39243.43
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T00:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 37316.51
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35813.466
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 34982.685
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 34608.057
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35112.814
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 36774.132
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 39625.452
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 40758.448
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 41070.192
        },
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        },
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        },
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        },
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          "load_mw": 43844.257
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 44681.274
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        {
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          "load_mw": 45461.004
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 46238.011
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        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47314.509
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47837.926
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47544.475
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 46896.17
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 46957.153
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        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 45739.071
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T22:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 42821.098
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-11T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 39684.596
        },
        {
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          "load_mw": 37371.65
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T01:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35957.579
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T02:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35036.753
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T03:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 34687.149
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T04:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 35070.645
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T05:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 36760.646
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T06:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 39755.964
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T07:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 40824.145
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T08:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 41160.481
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T09:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 41708.409
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T10:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 42446.385
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T11:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 43237.389
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T12:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 44250.911
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T13:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 45387.628
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T14:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 46564.053
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T15:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47634.085
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T16:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 48392.288
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T17:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 48658.864
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T18:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 48278.15
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T19:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47407.713
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T20:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 47264.36
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T21:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 46043.635
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T22:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 43310.895
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2023-04-12T23:00:00-05:00",
          "load_mw": 40129.932
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "winter-2021",
      "title": "Winter storm · February 2021",
      "note": "Recorded load during the winter storm includes the effects of outages and load shedding. It does not measure unconstrained demand.",
      "default_capacity_mw": 60000,
      "start_date": "2021-02-14",
      "end_date_exclusive": "2021-02-17",
      "source_url": "https://www.ercot.com/files/docs/2021/11/12/Native_Load_2021.zip",
      "source_archive_sha256": "63d77e711fbcf838aff1666df475cd86a1fa939ad8aecd60a1bfe5039c4e5b91",
      "hours": [
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          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T00:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 55282.612
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T01:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 54746.708
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T02:00:00-06:00",
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        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T03:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 55005.102
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T04:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 55630.169
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T05:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 56680.454
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T06:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 58071.474
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T07:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 59511.077
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T08:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 61299.993
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T09:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 63072.424
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T10:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 64185.234
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T11:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 64864.156
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T12:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 65047.452
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T13:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 65028.901
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T14:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 65188.549
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T15:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 65556.735
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T16:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 66468.018
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T17:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 68094.825
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T18:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 69635.087
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T19:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 69692.485
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T20:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 69324.247
        },
        {
          "timestamp": "2021-02-14T21:00:00-06:00",
          "load_mw": 68473.934
        },
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